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A stochastic model to quantify the risk of introduction of classical swine fever virus through import of domestic and wild boars

Epidemiology and Infection publish this investigation article

February 26th, 2009

Classical swine fever (CSF) is a disease of pigs that imposes major hardship on the industry of infected regions. The recent history of CSF epidemics suggests that animal movements remain the main source of CSF virus (CSFV) infection for susceptible populations in Europe. This study presents an assessment of the risk of introducing CSFV into Spain through the importation of live susceptible animals. Results suggest that, if prevailing conditions persist, introduction of CSFV into Spain is likely to occur on average every 9 years and that introduction is almost three times more likely to occur via domestic pigs than through wild boars. The highest risk was concentrated in March and in the Northeastern provinces of Spain. Results were consistent with the time and location of previous CSFV introductions into the country. The methodology and the results presented here will contribute to improve the CSF prevention programme in Spain




Martinez-Lopez B., Perez AM. and Sanchez-Vizcaino JM..




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A stochastic model to quantify the risk of introduction of classical swine fever virus through import of domestic and wild boars

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A stochastic model to quantify the risk of introduction of classical swine fever virus through import of domestic and wild boars



Participants:

Universidad ComplutenseServicio de Inmunología Viral y Medicina Preventiva (SUAT). Centro de Vigilancia Sanitaria Veterinaria (VISAVET). Universidad Complutense (UCM).

Universidad ComplutenseDepartamento de Sanidad Animal. Facultad de Veterinaria. Universidad Complutense (UCM).

University of California-DavisUniversity of California-Davis (UCDAVIS).

Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas (CONICET).

Facultad de Ciencias Veterinarias. Universidad Nacional de Rosario (UNR).







Epidemiology and Infection
FACTOR YEAR Q
2.365 2009

NLMID: 8703737

PMID: 19243649

ISSN: 0950-2688



TITLE: A stochastic model to quantify the risk of introduction of classical swine fever virus through import of domestic and wild boars


JOURNAL: Epidemiol. Infect.


NUMERACIÓN: 26:1-11


AÑO: 2009


PUBLISHER: Cambridge University Press


AUTHORS: Martinez-Lopez B., Perez AM. and Sanchez-Vizcaino JM..


VISAVET PARTICIPANTS


José Manuel Sánchez-Vizcaíno Rodríguez

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/S0950268808001623


CITE THIS PUBLICATION:

Martinez-Lopez B., Perez AM. and Sanchez-Vizcaino JM. A stochastic model to quantify the risk of introduction of classical swine fever virus through import of domestic and wild boars. Epidemiology and Infection. 26:1-11. 2009. (A). ISSN: 0950-2688. DOI: 10.1017/S0950268808001623


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