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Mathematical formulation and validation of the Be-FAST model for Classical Swine Fever Virus spread between and within farms

Investigation published in Annals of Operations Research

August 1st, 2014

Classical Swine Fever is a viral disease of pigs that causes severe restrictions on the movement of pigs and pig products in the affected areas. The knowledge of its spread patterns and risk factors would help to implement specific measures for controlling future outbreaks. In this article, we describe in detail a spatial hybrid model, called Be-FAST, based on the combination of a stochastic Individual-Based model (modeling the interactions between the farms, considered as individuals) for between-farm spread with a Susceptible-Infected model for within-farm spread, to simulate the spread of this disease and identify risk zones in a given region. First, we focus on the mathematical formulation of each component of the model. Then, in order to validate Be-FAST, we perform various numerical experiments considering the Spanish province of Segovia. Obtained results are compared with the ones given by two other Individual-Based models and real outbreaks data from Segovia and The Netherlands.




Ivorra B., Martinez-Lopez B., Sanchez-Vizcaino JM. and Ramos AM.




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Mathematical formulation and validation of the Be-FAST model for Classical Swine Fever Virus spread between and within farms




Participants:

Universidad ComplutenseServicio de Inmunología Viral y Medicina Preventiva (SUAT). Centro de Vigilancia Sanitaria Veterinaria (VISAVET). Universidad Complutense (UCM).







Annals of Operations Research
FACTOR YEAR Q
1.217 2014

ISSN: 0254-5330



TITLE: Mathematical formulation and validation of the Be-FAST model for Classical Swine Fever Virus spread between and within farms


JOURNAL: Ann Oper Res


NUMERACIÓN: 219:25–47


AÑO: 2014


PUBLISHER: Springer


AUTHORS: Ivorra B., Martinez-Lopez B., Sanchez-Vizcaino JM. and Ramos AM.


VISAVET PARTICIPANTS


José Manuel Sánchez-Vizcaíno Rodríguez

DOI: https://doi.org/ 10.1007/s10479-012-1257-4


CITE THIS PUBLICATION:

Ivorra B., Martinez-Lopez B., Sanchez-Vizcaino JM. and Ramos AM. Mathematical formulation and validation of the Be-FAST model for Classical Swine Fever Virus spread between and within farms. Annals of Operations Research. 219:25–47. 2014. (A). ISSN: 0254-5330. DOI: 10.1007/s10479-012-1257-4


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