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Quantitative Risk Assessment of African Swine Fever Introduction into Spain by Legal Import of Live Pigs

Investigation published in Pathogens

January 8th, 2022

African swine fever (ASF) is a devastating infectious disease of pigs that is threatening the global swine industry at present. The current spread of ASF in Europe and its recent incursion into Germany pose a serious risk to Spain, one of the world’s leading pig producers. A quantitative stochastic risk assessment model was developed to estimate the probability of ASF introduction into Spain via the legal import of live pigs. The results suggest a low annual probability of ASF introduction into Spain (1.07 × 10−4), the highest risk being concentrated in Central European countries (Germany, the Netherlands, Belgium, and Luxembourg) during the months of April and February. The methods and results presented herein could contribute to improving prevention and control strategies and, ultimately, would help reduce the risk of ASF introduction into Spain




Munoz-Perez C., Bosch BJ., Ito S., Martinez-Aviles M. and Sanchez-Vizcaino JM..




See this article
Quantitative Risk Assessment of African Swine Fever Introduction into Spain by Legal Import of Live Pigs

See it on NLM PubMed
Quantitative Risk Assessment of African Swine Fever Introduction into Spain by Legal Import of Live Pigs



Participants:

Universidad ComplutenseServicio de Inmunología Viral y Medicina Preventiva (SUAT). Centro de Vigilancia Sanitaria Veterinaria (VISAVET). Universidad Complutense (UCM).

Universidad ComplutenseDepartamento de Sanidad Animal. Facultad de Veterinaria. Universidad Complutense (UCM).

Animal Health Research Center (INIA-CISA).



Related news in other media:

- Alemania, país con más riesgo de introducir peste porcina africana en España - diarioveterinario.com







Pathogens
FACTOR YEAR Q
3.492 2020

NLMID: 101596317

PMID: 35056024

ISSN: 2076-0817



TITLE: Quantitative Risk Assessment of African Swine Fever Introduction into Spain by Legal Import of Live Pigs


JOURNAL: Pathogens


NUMERACIÓN: 11:76


AÑO: 2022


PUBLISHER: MDPI


AUTHORS: Munoz-Perez C., Bosch BJ., Ito S., Martinez-Aviles M. and Sanchez-Vizcaino JM..


VISAVET PARTICIPANTS


3rd
Satoshi Ito
Last
José Manuel Sánchez-Vizcaíno Rodríguez

DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/pathogens11010076


CITE THIS PUBLICATION:

Munoz-Perez C., Bosch BJ., Ito S., Martinez-Aviles M. and Sanchez-Vizcaino JM. Quantitative Risk Assessment of African Swine Fever Introduction into Spain by Legal Import of Live Pigs. Pathogens. 11:76. 2022. (A). ISSN: 2076-0817. DOI: 10.3390/pathogens11010076


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