Inicio \ Investigación \ Publicaciones científicas \


A Quantitative Assessment of the Risk for Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza Introduction into Spain via Legal Trade of Live Poultry

Artículo de investigación publicado en Risk Analysis

1 de mayo de 2010

Highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) is considered one of the most important diseases of poultry. During the last 9 years, HPAI epidemics have been reported in Asia, the Americas, Africa, and in 18 countries of the European Union (EU). For that reason, it is possible that the risk for HPAI virus (HPAIV) introduction into Spain may have recently increased. Because of the EU free-trade policy and because legal trade of live poultry was considered an important route for HPAI spread in certain regions of the world, there are fears that Spain may become HPAIV-infected as a consequence of the legal introduction of live poultry. However, no quantitative assessment of the risk for HPAIV introduction into Spain or into any other EU member state via the trade of poultry has been published in the peer-reviewed literature. This article presents the results of the first quantitative assessment of the risk for HPAIV introduction into a free country via legal trade of live poultry, along with estimates of the geographical variation of the risk and of the relative contribution of exporting countries and susceptible poultry species to the risk. The annual mean risk for HPAI introduction into Spain was estimated to be as low as 1.36 × 10−3, suggesting that under prevailing conditions, introduction of HPAIV into Spain through the trade of live poultry is unlikely to occur. Moreover, these results support the hypothesis that legal trade of live poultry does not impose a significant risk for the spread of HPAI into EU member states




Sanchez-Vizcaino F., Perez AM., Lainez M. y Sanchez-Vizcaino JM..




Ver artículo
A Quantitative Assessment of the Risk for Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza Introduction into Spain via Legal Trade of Live Poultry

Ver en NLM PubMed
A Quantitative Assessment of the Risk for Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza Introduction into Spain via Legal Trade of Live Poultry


Participantes:

Universidad ComplutenseServicio de Inmunología Viral y Medicina Preventiva (SUAT). Centro de Vigilancia Sanitaria Veterinaria (VISAVET). Universidad Complutense (UCM).

Universidad ComplutenseDepartamento de Sanidad Animal. Facultad de Veterinaria. Universidad Complutense (UCM).

Generalitat ValencianaCentro de Tecnología Animal. Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Agrarias (IVIA). Generalitat Valenciana.

University of California-DavisUniversity of California-Davis (UCDAVIS).

Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas (CONICET).

Facultad de Ciencias Veterinarias. Universidad Nacional de Rosario (UNR).







Risk Analysis
FACTOR YEAR Q
2.096 2010

NLMID: 8109978

PMID: 20136740

ISSN: 0272-4332



TÍTULO: A Quantitative Assessment of the Risk for Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza Introduction into Spain via Legal Trade of Live Poultry


REVISTA: Risk Anal.


NUMERACIÓN: 30(5):798-807


AÑO: 2010


EDITORIAL: Wiley-Blackwell Publishing, inc


AUTORES: Sanchez-Vizcaino F., Perez AM., Lainez M. and Sanchez-Vizcaino JM..


PARTICIPANTES VISAVET


José Manuel Sánchez-Vizcaíno Rodríguez

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1539-6924.2009.01351.x...


CITA ESTA PUBLICACIÓN:

Sanchez-Vizcaino F., Perez AM., Lainez M. y Sanchez-Vizcaino JM. A Quantitative Assessment of the Risk for Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza Introduction into Spain via Legal Trade of Live Poultry. Risk Analysis. 30(5):798-807. 2010. (A). ISSN: 0272-4332. DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2009.01351.x


SERVICIOS: