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Spatio-temporal model of avian influenza spread risk

Poster presentado en 1st Conference on Spatial Statistics 2011

23 de marzo de 2011

Iglesias I., Sanchez-Vizcaino JM., Munoz MJ., Martinez-Aviles M. y de la Torre A.

HPAI virus has caused significant economic losses in the poultry industry. Backyard and outdoor poultry farms (BOPF) can play an important role in the spread of the disease. A spatio-temporal model has been developed to identify areas and periods at higher risk of HPAI spread in BOPF and applied on a Spanish region. Six risk factors were considered: Census, density, biosecurity, species susceptibility, proximity to risk wetlands and virus survival. A risk map was generated adding each risk factor as a spatial layer and a spatial-temporal analysis was conducted using
scan statistics. Six clusters of spread risk of HPAI were identified in December and January. Despite the simplicity of
the model, this system allows to focus the surveillance efforts in the highest risk areas and species. Thereby it could
improve the efficiency of surveillance and control systems in terms of cost/benefit ratio




Participantes:

Universidad ComplutenseServicio de Inmunología Viral y Medicina Preventiva (SUAT). Centro de Vigilancia Sanitaria Veterinaria (VISAVET). Universidad Complutense (UCM).

Universidad ComplutenseDepartamento de Sanidad Animal. Facultad de Veterinaria. Universidad Complutense (UCM).

Centro de Investigación en Sanidad Animal (CISA). Instituto Nacional de Investigación y Tecnología Agraria y Alimentaria (INIA). Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación.


Enlace a 1st Conference on Spatial Statistics 2011





publiDB

1st Conference on Spatial Statistics 2011


23-25 marzo de 2011
Enschede
Países Bajos

TÍTULO: Spatio-temporal model of avian influenza spread risk


TIPO: Comunicación en póster


AUTORES: Iglesias I., Sanchez-Vizcaino JM., Munoz MJ., Martinez-Aviles M. y de la Torre A.


PARTICIPANTES VISAVET


2nd
José Manuel Sánchez-Vizcaíno Rodríguez
4th
Marta Martínez Avilés

FECHA: 23 de marzo de 2011



CITA ESTA COMUNICACIÓN:

Iglesias I., Sanchez-Vizcaino JM., Munoz MJ., Martinez-Aviles M. y de la Torre A. Spatio-temporal model of avian influenza spread risk. 1st Conference on Spatial Statistics 2011, ELSEVIER, Enschede, Países Bajos, 23 de marzo de 2011. (Comunicación en póster)


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